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Gold surged to a record high above $1,100 an ounce on Friday as
investors sought safety after data showed the U.S. unemployment
rate unexpectedly jumped to 10.2 percent in October. While
doubts about an economic recovery boosted gold, other precious
metals with an industrial component fell,
their demand outlook dented. “Gold rallied early on the
unemployment numbers being higher than expected. |
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It fueled thoughts of additional stimulus and reinforced the
concept that the Fed will not be able to raise rates any time
soon,” said Frank McGhee, head precious metals trader at
Integrated Brokerage Services in Chicago. U.S. employers cut
190,000 jobs in October, greater than the 175,000 fewer jobs
forecast, and the unemployment rate rose to 10.2 percent, a
26-1/2-year high that was above average forecasts of a 9.9
percent rate.
Dealers said gold still enjoyed support from prospects of
central banks buying the yellow metal to diversify reserves.
“The market has the bit between their teeth — all these
investors have piled into gold in a quasi-physical sense and now
they are being supported in that by the actions of Mr Central
Bank,” said RBS metals analyst Stephen Briggs. Gold hit a record
high at $1,100.90 per ounce, up more than 25 percent this year.
By 3:45 p.m. EST (2045 GMT), it was bid at $1,096.65 a troy
ounce from $1,089.55 late in New York on Thursday. The trigger
for the surge this week was news that the International Monetary
Fund had sold 200 tonnes of gold to the Reserve Bank of India
for $6.7 billion. “People are focusing on pent up demand for
gold from central banks in emerging markets,” said Michael
Lewis, head of commodities research at Deutsche Bank. “The
central bank community for the first time in 20 years is
possibly going to be a net buyer of gold having been a net
seller since 1988,” he said. Some think Asian central banks may
not hurry to follow India’s lead given current record prices and
the availability of cheaper domestically produced gold.
“Indian buying was very significant, but those getting excited
about the potential for copy cat moves need to consider a number
of factors,” said David Thurtell, analyst at Citi. “Culturally,
India is more favorably disposed to gold than every other
country. Second, it might be politically dangerous to be
accumulating reserves at the all-time price high.”
The central bank story has offset some selling by investors as
seen in the world’s largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund,
SPDR Gold Trust. SPDR’s holdings fell 0.055 tonnes to 1,108.344
tonnes on Thursday, marking the first decline since Oct. 30.
Spot silver was bid at $17.35 in late New York business down
from $17.37 late on Thursday. Platinum was quoted lower at
$1,338 than $1,353.50 and palladium fell to $328.50, even with
late Thursday dealings. |