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The AAA long-term
issuer credit rating on the US rests on this position of the
dollar as a key international currency.
Without this, the US would not have such ready access to
external financing; interest rates would have to rise to attract
higher domestic savings; and growth would slow well below
potential.
The dollar did not attain this position by accident, nor does
the US maintain it simply with inertia. This dominance is based
on the US economy’s fundamental strength - the casualty does not
run in the other direction.
That strength comes from the economy’s size, the flexibility of
labour and product markets, and the prospect for higher
productivity growth and favourable investment returns over the
medium term.
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